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The Field

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The Field is an independent accountability-journalism site covering every region of the world. Pieces under this byline are news reports and status updates compiled from published reporting and official statements, checked and edited by The Field's editor, Ismail Abukar.

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Analysis

Bougainville's Independence Vote Was Built to Be Hard to Win, and a No Would Not End It

Bougainvilleans voted 97.7 percent for independence in 2019. Papua New Guinea's parliament is now deciding what to do with the result, under a three-quarters majority rule that Bougainville says was never agreed. Sources in both capitals expect a no, and the real question is what happens next.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  9 min read
Analysis

Lula's Runoff Win Came From a Bigger Electorate, and a Two-Hour Court Order Cannot Explain It

Lula finished second in the first round, trailed in most runoff polls and governs an economy many voters call worse. He still won with about 51.8 percent, and Flávio Bolsonaro refused to concede, citing a two-hour extension of voting. The vote counts show about 4.7 million more valid votes than in round one, and Lula gained almost three times as many votes as Flávio, which makes the win larger than the polls and more fragile than the margin.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  11 min read
Analysis

A Ballot Suit the Courts Are Unlikely to Grant Can Still Do Its Work Before November 3

A federal appeals panel looked sceptical on Sunday of the Justice Department's demand that California stop counting ballots from 20,000 people it calls likely noncitizens. The government may well lose. The risk is in what the effort does to officials, voters and public trust before it does.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  9 min read
ConflictDeveloping

A Hawadle Peace With No Hawadle Name on It

On October 3 Al-Shabaab announced a pact with Hawadle elders at Mahaas. No Hawadle signatory has been named, the federal government has not answered, and on October 8 residents and Al-Shabaab fighters were shooting at each other in Tardo. Part 1 of 2: what was announced, what the text says, and what no one has confirmed.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  9 min read
AnalysisDeveloping

Al-Shabaab Did Not Need Mahaas. It Needed the Hawadle to Stand Down

The land was already Al-Shabaab's before October 3. What the pact buys is the stand-down of the clan militia that helped drive it out of Hiiraan in 2022, and a template for other clans. Part 2 of 2: why the Hawadle would sign, what Al-Shabaab gains, what Mogadishu loses, and what would settle it.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  10 min read
GovernanceDeveloping

An 81-to-13 Win Does Not Settle Hirshabelle's Hawadle Dispute

The ruling party's candidate won the state presidency on October 24, as in Galmudug. The Supreme Court had certified the House results, and no challenge was filed. The Hawadle grievances that dominated the buildup are unresolved.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  5 min read
Analysis

Both Israeli Camps Tried to Bar the Arab Parties. Neither May Win Without Them

Weeks before Israel votes, the Supreme Court kept two Arab lists on the ballot after parties from both camps moved to bar them. Polls give neither side 61 seats without them, so the real question is whether the winner admits the need before the count or after.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  12 min read
Analysis

Italy's Ceuta Border Checks Produced Little Evidence They Were Needed

Italy and Spain agreed this week to end the border checks that followed the mass crossing into Ceuta. The ministry's own numbers for the first month show checks on hundreds of thousands of passengers and reported nothing connected to the event that justified them. Brussels is now building an emergency framework without, as far as we found, saying how such measures should be judged.

By The Field  |  October 25, 2026  |  8 min read
GovernanceDeveloping

France Held the Streets on a Second Saturday. It Still Has Not Answered Why They Filled

A town hall burned in Limoges on October 17. A week later the state had 70,000 officers out and far fewer incidents. The reasons people marched, prices and a budget of cuts, are still before an Assembly that rejected one budget 115 to 1 on Friday and votes on the next on November 3.

By The Field  |  October 17, 2026  |  8 min read
Human rightsDeveloping

A Hung Jury Rarely Bars a Retrial. The Harder Question Is What a Second Jury Would Decide About Lindsay Clancy

A Massachusetts judge ended Clancy's murder trial after a jury reportedly split 11 to 1, then refused to acquit her and refused to look into the holdout juror. On November 2 he hears her claim that a retrial is barred. The law makes that unlikely. The harder question is what a second jury would decide about her mental state.

By The Field  |  October 2, 2026  |  9 min read
Human rightsDeveloping

"We Followed the Protocol" Is Not a Defense When Christa Pike Survived Two Doses

Tennessee says it followed every step when it gave Christa Pike two doses of pentobarbital and she survived. The protocol it followed has no answer for a failed IV line, allows the commissioner to deviate, and was used a second time by the same physician after the Carruthers attempt in May. A review led by Ed Stanton has no reported deadline.

By The Field  |  October 2, 2026  |  9 min read
GovernanceDeveloping

Galmudug's Court Case Is a Checklist. Hirshabelle's Election Only Partly Passes It

Of three state presidents Villa Somalia pressed, one fled, one stepped aside after talks, and one agreed to run on the ruling party's ticket. On October 24 that president was re-elected, 81 votes to 13, while his own vice president said the vote did not bind Hiiraan. Galmudug's court case is a checklist, and Hirshabelle's record against it is mixed.

By The Field  |  September 30, 2026  |  7 min read