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Ethiopia War: Live Tracker

The fighting between Ethiopia's federal government and an alliance led by the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) is moving fast. This page records what has been reported, who reported it, and how sure we are. We update it at least once a day while the fighting continues.

Last updated 3 Oct 2026, 08:08 EAT

What we know now
  • Fighting between federal forces and an opposition alliance led by the TPLF began around 22 and 23 September. It is the biggest escalation since the 2020-2022 war.
  • The opposition coalition is called the Ethiopian Peoples' Forces Alliance for Survival, or the Alliance for Survival. Mada Masr calls it a coalition. It groups the TPLF and six other armed groups.
  • Federal and allied forces are advancing on Mekelle, the Tigray capital. Reports of how close they are differ, and none is independently verified.
  • Explosions were heard in Addis Ababa overnight on 30 September and 1 October. No authority has said what caused them.
  • Ethiopia and Eritrea cut diplomatic ties on 1 October. Each side blames the other.
  • Phone and internet service went down across Tigray on 25 September, and Mekelle residents still reported disrupted services on 1 October.
  • Earlier fighting has killed, injured and displaced thousands, according to the Council on Foreign Relations. A European monitoring group reports 14 civilians killed in air strikes on Alamata. Neither figure is independently confirmed.
  • Ethiopia's army says it killed 272 Tigrayan fighters in North Wollo on 24 September. That is a government claim and has not been independently verified.

Where things stand: a map of reported positions

Where things stand: a map of reported positionsMap of northern Ethiopia. The Tigray region is shaded as held by the TPLF, with a small area around Alamata in the south reported taken by government-allied forces and an area of disputed territory in Western Tigray. Red dashed circles mark places where fighting is reported, south of Mekelle and in the Afar border area.ERITREASUDANTIGRAYAFARAMHARAFano fighting federal forcesin Amhara (ACLED)Western Tigray: disputed territory.Amhara forces have held it sincethe last war (approximate area)1Mekelle234Alamata5678▼ To Addis Ababa, about 500 km south: explosions 1 Oct, cause unconfirmed.
Positions as reported on 3 October 2026. This is not a verified control map. No such map exists. Positions are reported by media or claimed by the parties, and red circles are approximate. We will move them as reporting changes. Boundaries: Natural Earth (public domain).
  1. 1 Mekelle. Held by the TPLF. Government-allied forces are reported 20 to 40 km away.
  2. 2 Axum. Its airport was seized by TPLF forces on 23 September, the African Union said.
  3. 3 Shire. Its airport was seized by TPLF forces on 23 September, the African Union said.
  4. 4 Alamata. Reported taken by government-allied forces on 28 September.
  5. 5 Government forces were reported about 40 km from Mekelle on 1 October, Al Jazeera said. Approximate.
  6. 6 The government-allied Tigray Peace Forces said they took Milazat, about 20 km southeast of Mekelle, on 2 October. A claim, not confirmed. Approximate.
  7. 7 Afar border area. Government forces say they retook Abala and Erebti. Al Jazeera's reporter said the fight was still going on. Approximate.
  8. 8 Mappers and pro-rebel sources said rebels captured Dallol district on 29 September. Not independently confirmed.

Sources: Al Jazeera · Al Jazeera, Alamata · Reuters via CNBC Africa · Critical Threats · Al Jazeera, African Union · Al Jazeera, Western Tigray · Al Jazeera analysis, via Martin Plaut

The fronts

Mekelle approach

Claimed

Contested. Claims differ.

Al Jazeera reported government forces about 40 km from Mekelle on 1 October. On 2 October a pro-government militia, the Tigray Peace Forces, said it had taken Milazat, about 20 km southeast of the city. Residents say banks and shops closed. A diplomatic source told Reuters senior TPLF leaders had already left.

As of 2 Oct

Sources: Reuters via CNBC Africa · Al Jazeera

Southern Tigray (Alamata)

Reported

Taken by government forces and allies.

Al Jazeera and Chatham House both report that government forces and allied militia took Alamata, about 120 km south of Mekelle.

As of 2 Oct

Sources: Al Jazeera · Chatham House

Afar-Tigray border

Claimed

Disputed.

Critical Threats reports that Tigrayan forces and the Afar group Ugugumo took Abala on 22 September. Government forces told Reuters they have since recaptured Erebti and Abala. Al Jazeera's reporter said the fight for the towns was still going on. The governor of Afar says Eritrean forces are fighting in the region and control two-thirds of it. Eritrea had not responded.

As of 1 Oct

Sources: Critical Threats · Al Jazeera

Amhara region

Reported

Active fighting.

ACLED, a conflict-monitoring group, counts the Amhara Fano movement among the three groups actively fighting federal forces as of 26 September. Pro-government forces say early opposition gains in Amhara and Afar have been largely reversed. That is their claim.

As of 2 Oct

Sources: Al Jazeera · Reuters via CNBC Africa

Addis Ababa

Unconfirmed

Explosions heard. Cause not confirmed.

An intelligence official confirmed three blasts in three places. Authorities have not said what caused them. The city has an indefinite drone ban. ACLED said it had confirmed reports of a possible drone-related blast at the air force headquarters in Bishoftu on 26 September and believes the alliance carried out suicide drone strikes at Kombolcha and near Bahir Dar.

As of 1 Oct

Sources: AP via WTOP · EEPA (European External Programme with Africa) report

Eritrea and the border

Confirmed

Diplomatic ties cut. Troop involvement alleged, denied.

Ethiopia closed its Asmara embassy and expelled 10 Eritrean diplomats on 1 October. Eritrea cut all ties. A pro-government militia commander told the BBC that Eritrean soldiers were on the front lines. Eritrea denies backing the alliance. A monitoring group reported on 24 September that Eritrean troops had advanced into Western Tigray. That is unconfirmed.

As of 2 Oct

Sources: Al Jazeera · BBC via Yahoo News · EEPA (European External Programme with Africa), report no. 764

Civilians and communications

Reported

Services disrupted. No confirmed totals.

Phone and internet service went down across Tigray on 25 September, reportedly to stop government forces using networks to operate drones. Al Jazeera reported thousands fleeing Mekelle, and young men leaving Tigray for Addis Ababa to avoid forced recruitment. Residents told AP that communication and banking were disrupted. We have found no independently confirmed figures for casualties or displacement. Humanitarian sources estimate that 150,000 people are displaced in Afar, according to EEPA.

As of 1 Oct

Sources: Council on Foreign Relations · Al Jazeera

Regional diplomacy

Reported

Somalia's president is courted by both camps.

Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud met Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in Addis Ababa on 29 September, went to Djibouti, and arrived in Egypt's New Alamein on 2 October for the Alamein Africa Forum, which runs from 2 to 4 October alongside the African Union's mid-year coordination meeting on 4 October. The organisers' list names the presidents of Algeria, Angola, Burundi, Chad, Equatorial Guinea, Ghana, Libya, Senegal, Somalia and South Africa, plus host President Sisi. The forum's website also lists Djibouti's President Guelleh and Uganda's President Museveni. Neither Eritrea's President Isaias Afwerki nor Sudan's army chief Burhan appears on the organisers' lists we found. Dawan and other Somali outlets report a closed meeting of Sisi, Isaias, Burhan and Hassan Sheikh is expected, and a Dawan editorial put it around Saturday 3 October. No official source has confirmed it.

As of 3 Oct

Sources: AllAfrica (organisers' press release) · Alamein Africa Forum · Dawan · Dawan editorial · FTL Somalia

What we cannot verify

  • Who fired first around 22 and 23 September. The government and the TPLF give opposite accounts.
  • Who caused the explosions in Addis Ababa, and whether anything was damaged.
  • Whether the TPLF has been defeated, as a government-allied militia claims. The TPLF says it will counter-attack.
  • Exactly where the front lines are, and who holds the approaches to Mekelle.
  • Whether Eritrean troops are fighting. A militia commander says so. Eritrea denies it.
  • How many people have been killed or displaced since 22 September.
  • Which foreign states, if any, are supplying weapons. Claims circulate. We have not found confirmed reporting, and we are not repeating them.
  • Whether the closed meeting between Sisi, Isaias Afwerki, Burhan and Hassan Sheikh takes place, when, who attends, and what is discussed. Reports point to around 3 October. Nothing has been officially announced.
  • Why Hassan Sheikh Mohamud visited Addis Ababa and Djibouti. Observers link the trips to security in South West State and Hiiraan, but no official source has said so.
  • Whether the alliance has armed drones. ACLED believes it carried out suicide drone strikes at Kombolcha and near Bahir Dar, but has not confirmed who launched them.

Timeline

Earlier entries (26)
  • 30 SepConfirmed

    Ethiopia's National Intelligence and Security Service banned all drone flights in Addis Ababa and surrounding areas indefinitely. It said unauthorised drones would be electronically disrupted or captured and operators prosecuted.

    Sources: EEPA (European External Programme with Africa) report · Mada Masr

  • 30 SepReported

    Hassan Sheikh Mohamud travelled to Djibouti the day after meeting Abiy. Details of any discussion about Ethiopian forces in Somalia were not made public.

    Sources: Garowe Online

  • 30 SepConfirmed

    Voting began in Galmudug, in a repeat election ordered by the Supreme Court, and in Hirshabelle, in simultaneous local council and state assembly elections run by the National Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission.

    Sources: Dawan

  • 29 to 30 SepReported

    EEPA, citing residents, reported heavy drone strikes in the town of Maychew on 29 September and an airstrike in Axum on the morning of 30 September that sent students home from school.

    Sources: EEPA (European External Programme with Africa) report no. 766, via Martin Plaut

  • 29 SepConfirmed

    Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud met Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in Addis Ababa on a one-day working visit, Villa Somalia said. Talks covered relations and the security situation in the region.

    Sources: Hiiraan Online · Somali Guardian

  • 29 SepClaimed

    Dawan, citing a senior diplomatic source, reported that the meeting was Abiy's idea. It also quoted an unnamed diplomat in Hassan Sheikh's delegation as saying Abiy told Hassan that Egypt, Sudan and Eritrea had resolved to destroy Ethiopia. We have not verified the remark, and Egypt, Sudan and Eritrea reject accusations that they back the rebels.

    Sources: Dawan editorial

  • 29 SepClaimed

    Open-source mappers and pro-rebel sources reported that rebel forces captured Dallol district, about 115 miles northeast of Mekelle on the Eritrean and Tigray borders. This is not independently confirmed.

    Sources: Critical Threats

  • 26 to 29 SepReported

    At least 52 people were killed in Alamata in heavy fighting between 26 and 29 September, EEPA reported, citing the BBC. Medecins Sans Frontieres said hospitals in Korem and Alamata received 420 wounded people between 22 and 25 September, and 300 people were admitted to a hospital in Shire.

    Sources: EEPA (European External Programme with Africa) report no. 766, via Martin Plaut

  • 28 to 29 SepReported

    ACLED said suicide drone strikes are believed to have been carried out by the Alliance for Survival on a fuel depot at Kombolcha airport on 28 September and on an air force base near Bahir Dar on 29 September. It said that, if the alliance has armed drones, they could change the course of the war.

    Sources: ACLED, via Martin Plaut

  • 28 SepReported

    The Tigray Peace Forces said they captured Alamata, about 120 km south of Mekelle. Two diplomatic sources told Reuters the town had fallen, while a source linked to the opposition forces said they were retreating. Chatham House also lists Alamata among key areas the TPLF lost.

    Sources: Al Jazeera · Chatham House

  • 28 SepReported

    The Red Cross evacuated 161 people from Mekelle to Semera in Afar. They included federal police officers and their families, Ethiopian Airlines staff, African Union observers and civil aviation security staff.

    Sources: EEPA (European External Programme with Africa) report no. 766, via Martin Plaut

  • 27 SepReported

    Ethiopia's army chief accused Eritrea, Sudan's army and Egypt of backing the armed groups, and the army said it would show restraint. All three countries deny the accusation, and Egypt said it strictly respects its neighbours' sovereignty.

    Sources: Al Jazeera · Al Jazeera maps

  • 26 to 27 SepReported

    ACLED said it had confirmed reports of a possible drone-related blast at the air force headquarters in Bishoftu on 26 September. EEPA reported that ethnic Tigrayan and Amhara workers at the Bishoftu air force base were being arrested after strikes there on 26 and 27 September.

    Sources: ACLED, via Martin Plaut · EEPA (European External Programme with Africa) report no. 766, via Martin Plaut

  • 25 SepReported

    Internet and phone service went down across Tigray. Reuters reported the TPLF asked service providers to take their services down, reportedly to stop government forces from using networks to operate drones.

    Sources: Council on Foreign Relations, citing Reuters · Soufan Center, citing Reuters

  • 24 SepReported

    TPLF Vice President Amanuel Assefa told AFP the region was in full-blown war, with Tigrayan forces fighting alongside local armed groups in Afar and Amhara.

    Sources: Council on Foreign Relations, citing AFP

  • 24 SepClaimed

    A situation report from the European External Programme with Africa relayed reports of 21 air strikes by drones and MiG aircraft on Alamata that killed 14 civilians, and said Eritrean troops had advanced into Western Tigray. Neither claim is independently confirmed. Eritrea denies backing the opposition alliance.

    Sources: EEPA (European External Programme with Africa), report no. 764

  • 24 SepClaimed

    Ethiopia's army said it killed 272 Tigrayan fighters and wounded 260 in a counter-offensive in North Wollo. The TPLF's army said the federal government had launched a full-scale offensive with infantry, mechanised units and drones. Neither claim has been independently verified.

    Sources: Al Jazeera · Al Jazeera

  • 24 SepConfirmed

    IGAD, the East African regional bloc, called for an immediate end to the fighting and a return to the 2022 Pretoria agreement. The EU said Ethiopian drone strikes had worsened the humanitarian situation and condemned attacks on aid convoys. The UN expressed concern about the new armed coalition and reports of drone attacks.

    Sources: IGAD statement · EU statement · Al Jazeera

  • 23 SepConfirmed

    TPLF forces seized the airports at Mekelle, Axum and Shire. The African Union said they detained federal personnel. Civil flights were disrupted.

    Sources: Al Jazeera, citing the African Union · Chatham House

  • 23 SepClaimed

    Tigray's regional government said federal forces had invaded and that it had entered a defensive war. Getachew Reda, an adviser to Abiy, said the TPLF had seized the airports and launched an all-out offensive on government positions in Afar and Amhara. Ethiopia's president told the UN General Assembly that outside actors were to blame.

    Sources: Reuters via US News · Africanews

  • 22 SepReported

    Tigrayan forces and the Afar armed group Ugugumo captured Abala, a district capital about 30 miles east of Mekelle, according to Critical Threats. Government forces later said they retook it.

    Sources: Critical Threats

  • 20 SepReported

    Seven armed groups announced an alliance called the Ethiopian Peoples' Forces Alliance for Survival, aimed at removing Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's government and forming a transitional government. ACLED, a conflict-monitoring group, counted only three of them as actively fighting federal forces as of 26 September: the TPLF, the Amhara Fano National Movement and Ugugumo.

    Sources: Chatham House · Al Jazeera

  • 18 SepConfirmed

    The US national emergency over Ethiopia, declared in September 2021, expired. Sanctions on Eritrea's military and ruling party lapsed with it. The State Department said the move was meant to advance US regional interests.

    Sources: Bloomberg · AFP via New Vision

  • 16 SepReported

    Sudan's deputy head of state, Malik Agar, said Sudan does not want to be drawn into a war with Ethiopia. This came as Sudan's army accused Ethiopia of letting the Rapid Support Forces, a Sudanese paramilitary group, launch drones from its territory. Ethiopia has called such accusations baseless.

    Sources: Radio Tamazuj

  • 14 SepConfirmed

    Ethiopia's education ministry announced that students at four Tigray universities would be temporarily reassigned to other campuses. It had halted new placements there on 9 September.

    Sources: Rio Times

  • 2 SepReported

    Armed men seized centres designated for voter registration in Beledweyne as the commission set 30 September for the Hirshabelle vote. Some said they opposed an election run by the government-appointed commission. Hawadle politicians said the process was unfair and demanded their turn at the regional presidency.

    Sources: Somali Guardian

How to read this page. Confirmed an official or several outlets say it. Reported one credible outlet or analyst says it. Claimed one party says it and we cannot verify it. Unconfirmed it happened but the cause or detail is unknown. We link every source. If we get something wrong, we correct it here and in our corrections log. We publish only what is reported and checked. We do not repeat rumours.